FEMASB$10M to $20M

Risk Methodology and Programmatic Support

Forecast ID: F2026074444

Forecast details

Agency
DHS
Component
FEMA
Estimated value
$10M to $20M
Set-aside
SB
Contract type
Time and Materials
Vehicle
OASIS+
Competition
Follow-on to Existing Contract
Anticipated award
Q4 2027
Estimated solicitation release
January 1, 2027
Requirements contact
(202) 285-8445

Requirement

The mission of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)/Grant Programs Directorate (GPD)/Homeland Security Programs Division (HSPD) is to effectively develop and administer FEMA’s preparedness grant programs which aim to help improve the capacity of state, local and tribal entities to prevent, prepare for, respond to, and recover from natural and manmade hazards, including acts of terrorism. HSPD accomplishes this mission by developing and administering numerous grant programs in close concert with Federal, state, local, tribal, nonprofit, and private stakeholder consultation. HSPD supports the grant process of allocating grant funding to numerous grant programs by developing a comprehensive risk methodology that is used to inform grant allocation decisions. In managing its risk methodology, GPD evaluates threat, vulnerability, and consequence factors to determine the relative risk of states, territories, large urban areas, and tribal nations. GPD is also required to ensure that its efforts support the requirements of the Homeland Security Act of 2002, as amended, as well as DHS and FEMA senior leadership priorities. It is also imperative that GPD works closely with stakeholders internal to GPD, FEMA, and DHS and with stakeholders external to FEMA including state and local first responder communities, as well as private sector partners. DHS program offices that support the grant programs are: the Transportation Security Administration and the United States Coast Guard; DHS components that work with risk data such as the Office of Intelligence and Analysis (I&A), Office of Operations Coordination/Special Events Program, and the National Risk Management Center; Custom and Border Patrol, and other public/private entities that own and/or manage sources of risk data. The activities under this Performance Work Statement are intended to analyze the relative risk of states/territories, and the 100 most populous Metropolitan Statistical Areas in the United States for the purpose of informing allocations under the GPD preparedness grant programs. Risk Methodology and Programmatic Support will provide HSPD with the services necessary to support the development of risk methodologies used to inform grant funding and analytics measuring the preparedness grants for states, territories, urban areas, ports, and transit system. The Contractor will be part of an integrated team, participating with federal employees and other Contractors to support GPD’s strategic and tactical objectives. The Contractor shall provide all necessary support services to meet the tasks and deliverables defined in the following functional project areas: -Support the current Grant Risk Methodologies -Future risk strategies development -Programmatic monitoring and oversight. The Contractor shall provide solutions, options, and recommendations to the Government through a review and approval process. The Government will determine all courses of action for implementation, and the Contractor will assist in the development project implementation plans on a timeline schedule on request.

About this market

Department of Homeland Security awards in NAICS 541611 over the last 3 years.

Typical award size
The median award was $1.1M; the middle half ran from $252K to $3.4M (897 priced awards).
Competition
90% of 855 awards were competed; median 3 offers.
Largest vendors
Largest recent awards
Recompete pipeline
307 contracts of $100K or more in this market end between 90 days and 18 months from now.

Computed from USAspending award data on Oct 25, 2026.

This is a planning forecast, not a solicitation. Dates, values, and set-asides are agency estimates and can change before the official RFP is posted on SAM.gov.